Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000585 0.000667 0.000754 0.000852 0.000960 0.001076 0.001208
2025-11-16 0.000442 0.000551 0.000676 0.000826 0.001003 0.001203 0.001443
2025-11-23 0.000362 0.000481 0.000624 0.000804 0.001024 0.001282 0.001604
2025-11-30 0.000310 0.000437 0.000594 0.000801 0.001062 0.001376 0.001781
2025-12-07 0.000271 0.000402 0.000571 0.000800 0.001098 0.001466 0.001951
2025-12-14 0.000236 0.000368 0.000544 0.000790 0.001119 0.001536 0.002096
2025-12-21 0.000206 0.000337 0.000517 0.000777 0.001133 0.001594 0.002225
2025-12-28 0.000191 0.000326 0.000517 0.000799 0.001193 0.001712 0.002434
2026-01-04 0.000176 0.000312 0.000511 0.000812 0.001240 0.001814 0.002622
2026-01-11 0.000157 0.000291 0.000493 0.000805 0.001258 0.001876 0.002760
2026-01-18 0.000140 0.000271 0.000474 0.000795 0.001271 0.001930 0.002887
2026-01-25 0.000129 0.000259 0.000466 0.000801 0.001307 0.002017 0.003058
2026-02-01 0.000117 0.000245 0.000455 0.000801 0.001334 0.002092 0.003219
2026-02-08 0.000102 0.000223 0.000428 0.000775 0.001320 0.002108 0.003295
2026-02-15 0.000089 0.000204 0.000405 0.000754 0.001313 0.002133 0.003384
2026-02-22 0.000080 0.000192 0.000394 0.000751 0.001331 0.002195 0.003527
2026-03-01 0.000073 0.000183 0.000385 0.000750 0.001353 0.002262 0.003679
2026-03-08 0.000066 0.000171 0.000371 0.000741 0.001362 0.002309 0.003801
2026-03-15 0.000058 0.000159 0.000356 0.000729 0.001363 0.002345 0.003907
2026-03-22 0.000056 0.000158 0.000360 0.000749 0.001420 0.002466 0.004143
2026-03-29 0.000053 0.000154 0.000360 0.000761 0.001462 0.002566 0.004349
2026-04-05 0.000047 0.000145 0.000349 0.000755 0.001473 0.002617 0.004480
2026-04-12 0.000043 0.000136 0.000337 0.000745 0.001478 0.002658 0.004598